AtlantaThrashers Posts

  • Impulse Trading?

    Both Darryl Sutter and Don Waddell have taken a lot of heat recently for trading players that were once cornerstones of their franchise.  It stems less from the act of trading the player and more from how it came about.

    Most people believe that Sutter would’ve had a far superior return for the services of Dion Phaneuf had he made it known around the league that he was available.  As for Waddell, it’s pretty much unanimous that he erred by not offering teams an opportunity to negotiate a pre-trade extension with Ilya Kovalchuk, something that would’ve have upped his value tremendously.

    In my opinion, we saw something similar on Saturday with the Red Wings moving Ville Leino.  Clearly this trade is less impactful by a few degrees of magnitude, but it’s hard to believe that the best return possible for Leino was a 7th defenseman and a 5th-round draft pick.  It was only a few short months ago that Leino was considered a key offensive cog in the Red Wings machine, and I think this may be a trade that Ken Holland will someday regret.

    So, what’s driving these odd decisions? 

    In the case of Sutter and Phaneuf, I can understand the desire to get a deal done quickly and quietly.  For a team trying to make a serious playoff run, they don’t want to deal with weeks of trade speculation involving a key contributor.  With Leino, it seems that the Red Wings were in dire straits to clear some cap room.  I don’t understand this, as the long-term-injury exemptions they earned from the Franzen injury (not to mention time missed by Zetterberg and Kronwall) should have erased their cap concerns.  That said, if they are in cap trouble then moving Leino quickly without taking on salary in return becomes an urgent need with Franzen set to return.

    But Don Waddell?  No such luck.  It was absolute folly for Waddell to not let 29 different teams take a crack at Kovalchuk.  When the entire hockey world knows that you’re about to trade one of its marquee players, you owe it to your organization to maximize the return.  As I mentioned on the weekend, the Thrashers came out horrible in this deal.  I can’t think of a single legitimate reason for not allowing contract negotiations pre-trade.  The fact that the Thrashers did virtually the same thing with Marian Hossa screams of incompetence from the management team.  If the Thrashers are to survive, they’ll need a regime change in Atlanta.

    February-07-10 at 11:10:04 PM
  • Trading Kovalchuk

    The New Jersey Devils were so upset with the Leafs performance on Tuesday night that they had to go out and acquire Ilya Kovalchuk.  Having devastated Leafs Nation with 3 goals in the final 5 minutes last night, the Devils are now set to become a top contender in the Eastern conference.

    And they didn’t give up a whole lot to get it.

    Let’s break down the trade and look at what the Devils gave up, and what they got in return.

    Starting with the return, most people are starting and stopping with Ilya Kovalchuk.  Kovalchuk is a top-10 NHL player, one of the best snipers on the planet, and is an instant injection of offense into the Devils suddenly potent lineup.  I’m not interested in wasting much time on Kovalchuk.

    The 2nd piece of the puzzle is Anssi Salmela.  Salmela has reasonable potential as an offensively-minded defenseman, which is what makes him a significant component in this trade.  The Devils defensive corps is pretty thin on offense, as evidenced by the fact that 5 forwards were on the power-play last night with the game on the line.  Earlier in the game, however, Salmela was taking his turn at the point with the man advantage.  I think as the season goes on, and Salmela gets more comfortable with the Devils system, he will emerge as a key factor in the trade.

    As for what the Devils gave up…it almost seems like an insignificant amount.

    Niklas Bergfors is the key piece heading to Atlanta.  Bergfors was (is?) a solid prospect, but he’s developed slowly and no longer seems to be heading for a long career as an impact player.  I think at this point Bergfors tops out as a solid 3rd line player that can provide brief and sporadic injections of offense.

    Johnny Oduya will help the Thrashers blueline, but his play has slipped this season.  Having moved down the Devils depth chart, Oduya was picking up 5th defenseman ice time.  Looking at the Thrashers, he’s unlikely to break into the top 4.

    The concept of a 1st round pick is severely overrated, particularly when that 1st round pick falls outside the top 10.  In this case, the 1st round pick is far more likely to fall in the 23 to 30 range.  If I’m the Thrashers, I’m not overly thrilled about this, but there’s no harm in collecting lottery tickets as part of the rebuilding process.

    Finally, we come to Patrice Cormier.  As much as the Devils management team was willing to stand behind Cormier during his recent ordeals in the QMJHL, you’d have to foolish to think that the organization isn’t absolutely giddy to be rid of him.  Cormier is unlikely to develop into an impact player, and will need at least a couple seasons of development in the AHL before making the leap.

    So, at the end of the day, the Devils acquired 30+ games of Ilya Kovalchuk and a defenseman that could be a key cog in their unit over the next few seasons.  To do this, they gave up a 3rd-line forward with 2nd-line upside, a 5th defenseman, a late 1st-round draft pick, and a troubled prospect that they wanted to get rid of.

    When you break it down like that, this seems like a steal of a deal for the Devils.

    February-06-10 at 3:07:29 AM
  • The Injury Bug

    TSN has a story today about the injuries to star players, and how it will impact the Olympic teams, particularly the Russians. They interview Pierre McGuire, apparently an authority on hockey injuries, and he posits some reasonable explanations.  Chief amongst them are an increasing defensive responsibility for the elite players, particularly in the shot-blocking department, and the increased speed of the game. I’d like to offer 2 more theories. First, the flu.  We all know about the NHL players who have missed time with the flu, or H1N1.  We know that certain teams (like the Oilers) have been decimated by
    November-03-09 at 10:14:03 AM