Archives / 2009 / October

  • A Study in the Regression of Luke Schenn

    Forget for a minute that the Leafs have now lost 8 consecutive games to open the 2009-10 season.  Forget also that they sit firmly in 30th, and have already sacrificed their 1st round draft picks for the next 2 seasons.

    Instead, let’s look to the future.

    One of the main selling points behind investing so heavily in the defense this past summer (Mike Komisarek, Francois Beauchemin) was to aid in the development of Luke Schenn.  Schenn projects as a Komisarek-like player; big, tough, not a lot of offensive upside.

    So far, the experiment has been a massive flop.

    Last season, Schenn participated in 70 games, logging 90,443 seconds of ice time.  That works out to around 21 minutes and 33 seconds per game.  Not bad for a rookie defenseman, but a number you would figure to climb in his 2nd season.  Instead, the acquisition of veteran minute-crunchers has cut into Schenn’s ice time.  He’s down to roughly 16 minutes and 12 seconds per game.  A reduction of over 5 minutes per game in ice time is not the ideal development path for a young defenseman.

    Worse, it’s not just Schenn’s ice time that’s taken a step backwards, so has his defensive production; at least insofar as it can be measured statistically.  His blocked shots rate has fallen from 0.0013/second to 0.0010/second, derived from a 0.7/game reduction.  Conversely, his penalty minutes are actually rising.  Last season, Schenn earned just north of 1 minute in penalties per game (1.0143).  So far this season?  He’s up to 1.375 per game, despite the reduction in ice time.

    It’s early in the season, and the Leafs have struggled mightily, so it’s entirely plausible that the Schenn’s changing numbers reflect more upon the team than himself.  That said, it’s undeniable that the acquisition of veteran blue-liners has not yet paid dividends on the ice (the team is winless) and the most noticeable impact is the reduction in ice-time to the team’s future defensive stud.

    October-25-09 at 4:06:05 AM
  • LeafsTV Tells it How it Is

    On a cold and boring Saturday, I figured I’d take a look at what LeafsTV has to offer amidst all the turmoil in the Leafs early season.  I was not disappointed.

    Multiple callers were more than willing to boost Brian Burke’s ego (if the show were in HD, you would probably see his head expanding) by congratulating him on his off-season acquisitions and explaining how “REAL” Leafs fans still believe that this team has what it takes to win the Cup.

    My favorite moment of Leafs Lunch was when a caller asked Brian Burke if there were any potential scenarios under which the Leafs could acquire a legitimate top 10 NHL player, something they haven’t had since the 1967 expansion.  Burke replied by stating that in order to acquire such a talent, you have to have a top 2-3 draft selection (the validity of that statement is a whole other topic).  He followed that by indicating that despite the Leafs 0-6 start, they don’t plan on drafting in the top 2-3 over the next couple of years.

    You don’t say?  It’s easy to not plan for it when there’s zero possibility for it happening.  Remember Brian?  You traded away your draft picks.  I admire the conviction of believing that he had put together a playoff team and that those picks wouldn’t be very good, but I’m not sure how many people outside of Leafs Nation believed that to be the case.

    The Leafs go for their 1st win of the season once again tonight, against Rangers.  In case you missed it, the Rangers smacked the Leafs around last Monday, and are sitting near the top of the league early in the season.

    October-17-09 at 5:50:06 AM
  • The Chicago Olympians

    During the Wednesday night NHL on TSN broadcast, the talking heads at TSN briefly discussed the relative merits of 2 Chicago Blackhawks when it comes to the selection of Team Canada for the upcoming Olympics in Vancouver.  While I don’t want to get into the whole Olympic roster prediction game just quite yet, this debate is particularly interesting. The players in question are Patrick Sharp and Jonathan Toews.  On the surface, most people would go with Toews.  Toews is an up-and-coming young superstar, who captained his team deep into the 2009 playoffs.  He’s played for Canada before, and most people
    October-16-09 at 11:45:22 AM
  • Sad State of Affairs

    Not until this season has it dawned me on just how many years have passed since 1967. The Maple Leafs have taken the pre-game ceremony to a level that few other teams can manage.  Before every game they honor someone.  Given their recent woes (see 1967), there isn’t a lot to celebrate in the last 40 years. I’m not sure how much more I can take of Dick Duff and George Armstrong being carted out onto the ice.  Even worse is when they bring out the children of the players from their glory years; these kids are in the 70’s.
    October-13-09 at 11:47:29 AM
  • 0-for-Ever?

    Earlier today I was wondering whether or not the Leafs would win a game all season.  I jest, but given their play over the first 2 weeks of the season, it’s not without justification. In about 10 minutes, the puck will drop for the Leafs 6th game of the season.  So far they’ve surrendered 24 goals, most in the league.  They’ve scored 12 goals, which is closer to the middle of the pack, but still pretty abysmal, especially when you consider that most of those goals were scored in garbage time, with the outcome of the game already decided. The
    October-13-09 at 11:35:51 AM
  • Cam Ward for Art Ross?

    I don’t have the resources to investigate this, but I have to assume that Cam Ward, the Carolina Hurricanes goaltender, has set (or at least tied) some kind of record by being tied for the team lead in points 3 games into the season. After losing 2-0 on opening night to the Flyers, the Hurricanes were romped 7-2 by the Bruins on Saturday.  On Tuesday, the Hurricanes topped the Lightning 2-1 (shootout victory) and Cam Ward picked up on assist on Jussi Jokinen’s first period goal, giving him 1 point on the season. Ward is currently in a 7-way tied
    October-09-09 at 11:10:28 AM
  • Roberto Luongo, the Slow Starter

    Given the troubles of Roberto Luongo and the Vancouver Canucks, the early season play of the start goaltender has been a hot topic in the hockey world.  Most of those “in-the-know” believe Luongo to be a slow starter, a claim that I’m not sure I believe. Consider the following table, which charts some statistics for Mr. Luongo over the month of October, for each of the last 6 seasons. Season Wins Goals Allowed Shots Against Saves SV% Shutouts 2003-04 2 17 287 270 .941 0 2005-06 6 26 358 332 .927 2 2006-07 7 26 336 310 .923 1 2007-08
    October-07-09 at 12:04:02 PM
  • Power Rankings

    Pretty much every hockey site out there has their own power rankings (including this one, soon).  I find it interesting to compare and contrast the rankings at the big sports sites.  ESPN’s are particularly interesting. Take a gander. Their rankings appear to be some kind of mesh from the opinions of their resident hockey minds, including Scott Burnside and Pierre Lebrun. What’s interesting is the mammoth movements some team’s made after only 1 or 2 games. Consider the New York Rangers.  Their week 1 power rankings listed the Rangers at 22nd.  They’ve gone 1-1 through their first 2 games, losing
    October-05-09 at 11:07:42 PM
  • Early Season Thoughts

    With just over 20 games in the history books for the 2009-10 NHL season, here are some thoughts on the action so far… The Red Wings are 0-2, an uncharacteristic start for the perennial contender.  With an aging defense, and the same suspect goaltending they’ve been thriving with for years, could this be the season that the Red Wings are knocked from their throne atop the Central division? Ray Emery has returned to the NHL with a bang.  After being run out of Ottawa (something the organization seems to excel at), Emery toiled away in the KHL last year.  Now
    October-04-09 at 2:23:33 AM
  • Fantasy Hockey Day

    The NHL season kicks into full gear today with 15 games, which means that every team is in action. I hate this. It’s a huge headache for fantasy players.  Who to start?  Who to bench?  Should I play Ville Leino (who scored on Friday in his season debut for the Red Wings), or roll with Nikita Filatov, prized rookie in Columbus? And what about the goalies? Well, there’s really only one thing to do.  It’s far too early to look at the matchups; it’s a total crapshoot this early in the season.  One of my competitors was set to bench
    October-03-09 at 2:34:58 AM